Get ready for a nine-game slate with a potential of rain in the forecasts. The pitching looks to be a rich landscape, so build a balanced attack with the bats to help grow the bankroll! There is also an abundance of pricing oddities based on the site you choose to play, so keep an eye out for some values.
This is Plan of Attack. We’re here to provide advice and recommendations to help you build successful daily fantasy lineups. We’ll be loosely guided by the tenants of our DFS Manifesto – namely, a single lineup build designed to improve your enjoyment of the game while giving you a chance to beat the rake.
For clarity, when I reference “value,” I’m referring to projected points divided by cost.
1. The RotoFanatical Challenge
We are hosting a daily 20-entry, $3 contest on DraftKings. It’s an excellent low-cost testing ground against fellow RotoFanatic fans. A level playing field is always lovely. Today’s nine-game slate begins at 6:05 pm ET. Reserve your spot for the contest.
2. Weather and Park Factors
Rain may play a factor is how many games get played today, specifically in the midwest. There is a 22% chance of precipitation in the MIL@DET showdown at 7:00p EST. As I sit in my house right outside of Chicago, it has been pounding rain all evening, and reports show rain scattered throughout the day. I would recommend trying to steer clear of CIN@CHI, or keep an eye closer to start time.
As far as Park Factors are concerned, there is not a bunch of hitter-friendly parks on the slate today. The majority of the stadiums housing a ballgame today are pitcher-friendly or neutral sites.
Check out our park factors HERE.
3. Building Block Bats
Pete Alonso ($4700 DK, $3700 FD)
Pete Alonso shows up as the tenth most expensive first baseman on the slate. That seems criminally low for a lefty-masher with Alonso’s moon shot ability. His season-long sub .800 OPS is not who Alonso is; he is more like his last ten game .904 OPS. Today’s matchup is southpaw, home run-machine, John Means-he has already given up eight home runs in 20 innings pitched. It might be a good day for Alonso to add to that total!
Dylan Moore ($3700 DK, $3000 FD)
Moore hasn’t missed a beat since returning from an IL stint. Since his return, Moore has collected a hit in every outing and put up a massive game last night (27 pts). The statcast slider below shows off so much red, especially for a player with a great matchup against Logan Webb. His salary was usually in the $4K range, so saving that extra $300 can come in handy. Plug him in at that pesky second base position or outfield if needed.
Also consider: Freddie Freeman, Marcel Ozuna, Kyle Seager
Mitch Moreland ($4100 DK, $2900 FD)
This is a bit of a zig when others zag play. Moreland is yet to show off his plate skills for his new squad in San Diego. The recent news of Eric Hosmer’s injury will bump Mitchy Two Bags up the order. Good news for today, he squares off against Chi Chi Gonzalez at home. Moreland has all eight of his home runs off right-handed pitching, and while he has been cold-sits in that productive lineup and will get plenty of chances to produce.
Also consider: Victor Reyes, JD Davis, Kyle Lewis
Walker Buehler (DK $10200, FD $10400)
Buehler is the top-priced arm on the slate but also the safest by a wide margin. Before getting into Buehler’s numbers, let’s take a look at how inefficient the Arizona Diamondbacks have been this season. They have scored the fifth-fewest runs in the MLB, mainly due to the fact they don’t hit many home runs(35), which only ahead of Miami and St Louis. Both of those teams have played fewer games as well. Since the departure of Starling Marte, the club strikeout rate has risen to 25.2%, and the combined batting averages have plummeted down to .186, second-worst in MLB. This is a dream matchup for any pitcher, let alone a talent like Walker Buehler.
Buehler started the season with a slow ramp-up and has since seen his strikeout totals increasing. The fastball is back to looking electric and has only allowed four hits while being thrown over 50% of the time. In his last 15.2 innings pitched, Buehler has a 22:2 K/BB ratio, so the command is there as well. All things are adding up to a very safe play for Buehler.
Also Consider: Lance Lynn, Mike Clevinger
Andrew Heaney (DK $8400, FD $9200)
Heaney has found his groove as of late. Back to back quality starts against the Mariners and the Padres have brought his ERA down to 3.89. He is tossing over 100 pitches an outing now when he is on. It won’t take much to be on when you’re facing the Texas Rangers. They have been one of the worst offenses in the MLB, as shown by their 66 wRC+ and .282 wOBA on the season. Take advantage of the pricing difference on DraftKings today-they must not have noticed Heaney’s momentum and the Diamondbacks flaws.
Dylan Cease (DK $8700, FD $8400)
Cease has cruised through the season until stumbling against the Royals in his last two starts. He’s been stuck in the silo pitching against the same few teams and finally gets to face-off against the Pittsburg Pirates, who are yet to see Cease. In 41.0 innings pitched, Cease has managed to mitigate the offenses, even though his strikeouts are down a little. Luckily the Pirates are striking out nearly 25% of the time while only walking around seven.
Also Consider: Sixto Sanchez, Tyler Mahle(RAIN)
Connectors are cheap guys who offer a tangible upside and enable you to explore top-heavy builds. FanDuel offers an embarrassing quantity of these players (their pricing model is drunk), so I’ll focus on DraftKings first and foremost.
Jo Adell ($2200 DK, $2300 FD)
Don’t look now, but Jo Adell may finally be catching up to MLB pitching. In his previous three outings, Adell has five hits-including two extra-base knocks with a home run. He is a flashy player that can go deep or swipe a bag that’s riding a mini-hot streak. That’s enough for me to consider putting him in a lineup.
Cameron Maybin ($2600 DK, $2300 FD)
The Jason Heyward injury opens up a few at-bats for newly acquired Cameron Maybin, who batted eighth last night. He has been swinging a hot bat as of late. In his previous ten games, he boasts a .286/.333/.464 slash line with a near .800 OPS. If he can continue to stay in the Cubs lineup, it could be very beneficial for his value.
Also Consider: Leody Taveras, Darif Ruf, Ke’Bryan Hayes