Sunday’s slate is a nine-game that begins very early. Pitching features some real aces like deGrom, Bieber, and Nola, with a farewell outing to Matt Harvey. Focus on the matchups and take advantage of weaker pitching.
This is Plan of Attack. We’re here to provide advice and recommendations to help you build successful daily fantasy lineups. We’ll be loosely guided by the tenants of our DFS Manifesto – namely, a single lineup build designed to improve your enjoyment of the game while giving you a chance to beat the rake.
For clarity, when I reference “value,” I’m referring to projected points divided by cost.
1. The RotoFanatical Challenge
We are hosting a daily 20-entry, $3 contest on DraftKings. It’s an excellent low-cost testing ground against fellow RotoFanatic fans. A level playing field is always lovely. Today’s 9-game slate begins at 12:05pm ET. Reserve your spot for the contest.
2. Weather and Park Factors
There is rain sprinkling in a few areas, but nothing that should stop a baseball game today. Heavy winds are blowing in Wrigley again, nearly 20.6 MPH. To the opposite effect, 20.1 MPH winds are blowing out at Kaufman Stadium. As always, monitor your lineups before lock time.
Hitters Parks to consider: Minute Maid(LAA@HOU), Camden Yards(NYY@BAL), Wrigley Field(STL@CHC)
Pitchers Parks to consider: Oakland Coliseum(SD@OAK), Kaufman Stadium(CWS@KC)
Check out our park factors HERE.
3. Building Block Bats
Stack 1: Chicago White Sox @ Matt Harvey
Jose Abreu ($5200 DK, $3800 FD)
Tim Anderson ($5600 DK, $3700 FD)
Eloy Jimenez ($4700 DK, $3400 FD)
The Chicago White Sox draw the Matt Harvey, who has been a disaster on the bump. All systems go on this stack today. Harvey has not made it past the third inning and continues to get crushed by hitters. As noted in the Park Factors section, the wind is howling out in Kaufman. The White Sox are a dynamic bunch of hitters that produce massive fantasy points a night in and night out. This will be a chalkier play, but will produce!
Stack 2: Cincinnati Reds @ Chad Kuhl
Joey Votto ($41000 DK, $2800 FD)
Jesse Winker ($4200 DK, $2900 FD)
Mike Moustakas ($4900 DK, $2700 FD)
The Reds are a cheaper stack to play against Chad Kuhl. Specifically, targeting the left-handed hitters will help receive the most bang for your buck. The three Reds are high on-base machines with a fair amount of pop. Mix and match with a few big arms and viola, you’ve got a very potent build.
Also consider: Toronto Blue Jays
Victor Reyes ($3400 DK, $2400 FD)
Reyes has been an unlikely hero on several occasions and still doesn’t get the respect deserved. On the season, he is hitting over .300 with four HRs, and five SB. Detroit has firmly planted him in the leadoff position, even though he is not a typical leadoff hitter because he doesn’t walk. Reyes is swinging a hot bat with a six-game hitting streak and a home run last night. He faces off against southpaw Rich Hill, who has struggled with command and walking an unusual amount.
Also consider: Joey Votto, Rowdy Tellez
Shane Bieber (DK $11000, FD $10800)
Bieber is the top-priced arm on the slate-and rightfully so. He has tossed a quality start in every outing this year. On the season, Bieber boasts 84 strikeouts in only 52.2 innings pitched with a 1.20 ERA and 0.83 WHIP. Nearly every time on the mound, Bieber is baffling hitters and striking out double-digit batters. He draws one of the more favorable matchups, the Milwaukee Brewers, who have struggled against right-handed pitching. They are a 27.2% strikeout rate on the year and sub .700 OPS. A must play in all cash games.
Jacob deGrom (DK $10500, FD $11500)
The next pricey arm is Jacob deGrom, and like Bieber, is a maven on the mound. He dropped his ERA down to 1.76 with a 0.90 WHIP and 58 strikeouts in 41 innings pitched. deGrom gets zero run support from the Mets, and thus his record stays at 2-1. He is riding a three-game quality start streak that has a 30:4 K/BB ratio. He draws a less favorable matchup against the Philadelphia Phillies. On the year, the Phillies are an average team vs. RHP with a 104 wRC+ and a 10% walk rate. deGrom should still dominate with nearly double-digit strikeouts and six-plus innings.
Also Consider: Aaron Nola
Tyler Glasnow (DK $8700, FD $10100)
Glasnow is a value play in DraftKings, over FanDuel due to salary difference. If you want elite level production, but save close to $1300 in the budget, Glasnow is your pick. The season started out with disaster, and he kept giving up the longball. The strikeouts were always there, but he was unable to make it past the fourth inning until mid-August. The excellent news, Glasnow has righted the ship and piling up the strikeouts while going deeper into games. In his last 13 innings pitched, he has only given up seven hits while maintaining a 20:2 K/BB ratio and notching two quality starts.
Also Consider: Masahiro Takana, Tejay Antone
Connectors are cheap guys who offer a tangible upside and enable you to explore top-heavy builds. FanDuel offers an embarrassing quantity of these players (their pricing model is drunk), so I’ll focus on DraftKings first and foremost.
Randy Arozarena ($2700 DK, $2300 FD)
Arozarena is a top prospect of the Rays that boasts a ton of speed. He has found success early on the season with a hit in each of his games starts and went deep on September 2nd. In the minor leagues last year, he slashed .358/.435/.593 with a 1.028 OPS with 12 HR and nine stolen bases. He can do it all, just needs to crack the lineup.
Also Consider: Erik Gonzalez