Quite an odd slate on this Sunday packed with full of sports. On FanDuel, the main slate is 11-games, while DraftKings is only an eight-game slate. The drastic difference in the total number of games and point scoring systems will make it a little more challenging to narrow down the focus. Fear not, plenty of useful insights await to help you navigate to victory.
This is the Plan of Attack. We’re here to provide advice and recommendations to help you build successful daily fantasy lineups. We’ll be loosely guided by the tenants of our DFS Manifesto – namely, a single lineup build designed to improve your enjoyment of the game while giving you a chance to beat the rake.
For clarity, when I reference “value,” I’m referring to projected points divided by cost.
1. The RotoFanatical Challenge
We are hosting a daily 20-entry, $2 contest on DraftKings. It’s an excellent low-cost testing ground against fellow RotoFanatic fans. A level playing field is always lovely. Today’s 8-game slate begins at 12:05 pm ET. Reserve your spot for the contest.
2. Weather and Park Factors
The weather could play a factor in a couple of games this afternoon. The games start early on, so monitor closer to game time to avoid the dreaded PPD lockout. Don’t let the percentages scare you too much; both these games are likely playable.
- CLE @ MIN 40% chance of precipitation, cloudy at game time
- DET @ CWS 35% chance of precipitation, possible drizzle at game time
The park that will be driving the build today is Yankees Stadium. Let’s start with the Park Factor Racks; due to the short dimensions in RF, the stadium plays perfectly for left-handed pull hitters and right-handed hitters that can go opposite field. Please take a glance at RF and RCF; it’s quite green and ranks out nearly as well as Coors Field. The focus needs to be hitters that drive the ball to that part of the park today.
Check out our park factors HERE.
3. Building Block Bats
Yankees(vs. BAL) Stack:
Luke Voit ($6000 DK, $5000 FD)
DJ LeMahieu ($5400 DK, $4500 FD)
Clint Frazier ($4400 DK, $3300 FD)
Aaron Hicks ($4100 DK, $3300 FD)
The stack of the day is the New York Yankees, and for several reasons. First, like we touched on in the park factors section, all these hitters like to go opposite field on fly balls-Voit to a lesser extent because he pulls so many deep fly balls to LF. DJ LeMahieu has a knack to drinking a fly ball over the short fences in RF.
There is a great chance this will be the first four hitters in a Yankees lineup that faces southpaw John Means. Means isn’t fooling anyone this year and given up eight home runs to RHH in only 26 innings pitched. His 10.3 K-BB% and 6.58 ERA with 8.39 FIP vs. RHH are signs that point to a high-scoring affair for the pinstripers.
Also consider: Toronto Blue Jays Stack(Randal Grichuk, Bo Bichette, Lourdes Gurriel Jr) *FanDuel only
Salvador Perez vs. PIT ($4300 DK, $2500 FD)
Adalberto Mondesi vs. PIT ($3100 DK, $2800 FD)
Sure, neither of these guys walk at all, but they can hit a ton. Salvador Perez is back after a lengthy IL stint and is the eighth-highest priced catcher on the slate. His absence can save you about $500, and the production is likely the same as Grandal or McCann. Perez already has four hits in his two games back, including a pair of doubles. Catcher is always a position I tend to look for value and not pay upon unless the slate dictates it.
Mondesi makes his way back into the Unlikely Heroes section for the second day in a row. He has earned every bit of it with his white-hot streak. Mondesi is slashing .300/.364/.625 with a .989 OPS in September. In 40 at-bats, he has mashed four home runs and swiped eight bases. WOW! Shortstop is incredibly deep, so paying down and getting this high of production puts you way ahead of the game.
Also consider: Bobby Dalbec, Randy Arozarena
Max Scherzer vs. ATL (FD $11000 only)
Scherzer is by far the most expensive pitcher on the slate, and the only real ace available. He is doing the usual Scherzer things(24.1 K-BB% with a 34% ground ball rate). The 3.40 ERA comes with a 3.07 FIP and 3.46 xFIP that suggests he is about where he should be. When it comes to pitching on FanDuel, we want to focus on strikeouts and the likelihood of throwing the win. Scherzer faces the Atlanta Braves, who have been mashing home runs lately. His opposing pitcher is Kyle Wright, so the Nationals are the favorite to win the game. His statcast slider should tell the tale of what to expect on his day: as a result, high whiff and K% means strikeouts are coming, and pink across the board will lead to a lower scoring game for the Braves.
Also Consider: Lance Lynn *FanDuel Only
Triston McKenzie @ MIN (DK $8100, FD $9400)
McKenzie is a more formidable player to place, and some of that depends on the site. On FanDuel, he is the third most expensive pitcher, and on DraftKings, between Michael Pineda and Carlos Martinez-neither of those players are safe or a value. I would put him as the top play for DraftKings because there is several pitchers take McKenzie ahead of. In FanDuel, he is fair play, but Id likely pay down for a different pitcher because you only have to start one. Phew, that was a mess!
McKenzie has the highest K% on the slate and only a 6.6% walk rate. That is impressive control for such a young pitcher with very few innings pitched under his belt. His 27.6 K-BB% with 46.7% ground ball rate puts him in elite company. He faces off against the Twins, who have been a better team since the return of Josh Donaldson and sport a 130 wRC+ in the last two weeks.
Safe pitcher? Not exactly. Value pitcher? No, kind of costs too much for that. Like I said, it’s an odd slate, but McKenzie definitely should be in consideration for your build.
Sixto Sanchez vs. PHI (DK $6200 only)
Sixto is a missile thrower with two electric fastballs that top out at 98 and 96-mph. He heavily utilizes a changeup to keep the hitters timing off and then drops the breaking balls to high whiff rates. He looks like a youngster ahead of the curve on the mound. His 1.80 ERA comes with a 3.11 FIP and 3.04 xFIP that suggest a little bit of regression coming his way, but still elite skills. The ground ball rate is 59.1%, is way above-average as well.
The Phillies face off against Sixto this afternoon and have been struggling against right-handed pitching. They have a .307 wOBA and a 23.4% strikeout rate in the last 14 days. While that does come with a 10.4% walk rate, the Phillies are 12% worse than the league average in terms of wRC+.
Also Consider: Brad Keller vs. PIT, Frankie Montas @ TEX *FanDuel only
Connectors are cheap guys who offer a tangible upside and enable you to explore top-heavy builds. FanDuel offers an embarrassing quantity of these players (their pricing model is drunk), so I’ll focus on DraftKings first and foremost.
Shogo Akiyama @ STL ($2100 DK, $2300 FD)
Shogo is showing some life as of late, mainly against right-handed pitching. In his previous ten games, he is sporting a .906 OPS and .517 OBP. He is more of an on-base, table-setter that needs someone to drive him in to help his production. The excellent news for Akiyama is he is facing Carlos Martinez, who is struggling on the bump.
DJ Stewart @ NYY ($2400 DK, $2800 FD)
Stewart has become taken on a cult following after his eruption back into the MLB. He put up six home runs in just as many games with next to no salary cost. If you’re looking for lightning in a bottle, Stewart could do it again. He faces off against JA Happ with the short RF fences in Yankees Stadium.
Also Consider: Edward Olivares