Baseball has thrown us a doozy with a small slate, and the weather looks to play a significant role in a couple. Play it safe, and keep an eye on your lineups before lock time.
This is the Plan of Attack. We’re here to provide advice and recommendations to help you build successful daily fantasy lineups. We’ll be loosely guided by the tenants of our DFS Manifesto – namely, a single lineup build designed to improve your enjoyment of the game while giving you a chance to beat the rake.
1. Weather and Park Factors
Rain could play a significant role in a few games, and we don’t have many to begin with. There are chances of rain to affect the SD@COL and WSH@BOS. WSH@BOS is showing over a 70% chance of precipitation, great plays are in this game, so beware. SD@COL has a 16% chance of rain; they made it unscathed yesterday, so we will see. As always, monitor this closer to lock time.
There are a couple very hitter-friendly parks in play today. We get another game in Coors Field, which is undoubtedly the best play for any hitter. Also on the slate is Miller Park, which boosts the power of hitters in the alleys. Next is Fenway Park, with the short dimensions to the foul poles and odd-shaped outfield in CF/RCF. If you’re looking for stadiums to help a pitcher, Globe Life(Texas) and Chase Field(Arizona) would be your places of note.
Check out our park factors HERE.
2. Building Block Bats
Stack 1 (Washington Nationals):
Juan Soto ($5700 DK, $4700 FD)
Trea Turner ($5400 DK, $3900 FD)
Howie Kendrick ($3800 DK, $2700 FD)
The Nationals have been 14% better than the league-average against right-handed pitching over the last seven days. They boast a .345 wOBA and walk over 10% of plate appearances in that time frame. The ballclub squares of against Chris Mazza, who is one more blow up from being sent down. Mazza is used as an extended opener and shouldn’t go more than three innings pitched today. So it is best to check on how the Red Sox bullpen has done. In the last seven days, the bullpen has a 4.52 FIP and 9.4 K-BB%. If the rain holds off and they get the game in, this could be a very prosperous stack.
Stack 2 (San Diego Padres):
Fernando Tatis Jr ($6100 DK, $4900 FD)
Manny Machado ($5600 DK, $4200 FD)
Wil Myers ($4300 DK, $3500 FD)
San Diego has been a powerhouse offense this year. Every day you have to look who took one yard or if they hit another grand slam. The slate is tiny, so ownership levels will be inflated for these guys. They face-off against Antonio Senzatela, who is like your typical Rockies starting pitcher, struggles at home. To add injury to insult, he also struggles mightily against right-handed batters. Don’t just let that turn you off to all the other studs in Slam Diego, Trent Grisham, and Eric Hosmer are definitely in play today too.
Also consider: Colorado Rockies (Blackmon, Story, Arenado, Kemp)
Kyle Seager ($4000 DK, $3100 FD)
While everyone is salivating over the juicy matchup at Coors, they may overlook Seager. He has been spectacular on the season, .291 batting average with 26 RBI and 19 runs in 34 games played. Seager has done a majority of his devastation against right-handed pitchers. In 104 plate appearances, Kyle has an 11:11 K/BB ratio, .898 OPS, and .310/.386/.512 slash line. He is riding a four-game hitting streak with extra-base hits in his last two.
Also Consider: Christian Walker, Raimel Tapia, Shin-Soo Choo
Lance Lynn (DK $9200, FD $9500)
Lynn has been the definition of consistency over the last year and a half. Below is his last couple starts made, take notice on the far right. PIT(Total Pitches) and BF(Batters Faced) tell the story of how terrific he has been. Lynn keeps pumping out long starts with lots of strikeouts and not many earned runs. He would be a safe pick on any slate, but especially today, due to the small slate. Lynn has gone five or more innings pitched every game this season and has a quality start notched in all but one. I could keep rattling off amazing stats after amazing stats, but let’s just make this simple, start Lance Lynn.
Dylan Bundy (DK $9200, FD $9100)
Bundy is just a step below Lynn this year as far as consistency is concerned. If not for a hiccup against the San Francisco Giants on 8/18, he would have a flawless season as well. In 38.1 innings pitched, Bundy has a 2.58 ERA with 0.89 WHIP with 44 strikeouts. Again, solid season, and he’s picked up a quality start in all but two starts. There aren’t many options at starting pitcher, and the ownership will be through the roof on the solid arms. Don’t get cute and play it safer today.
Justus Sheffield (DK $7300, FD $8300)
Sheffield has looked superb in his last three outings. In that time frame, he has only allowed two earned runs over 18 innings pitched. The command has been pinpoint as well with a 16:2 K/BB ration. He faces off against the Los Angeles Angels, who have been an average team at the dish this season. They have a 103 wRC+ and .319 wOBA on the season. Now, against LHP, they have struggled a bit: 89 wRC+, .300 wOBA, and 28.2 K%. The Angels knocked Sheffield around in his 2020 debut on 7/28, so today looks to be a redemption game for Sheffield.
Also Consider: Brett Anderson, Ross Stripling
Connectors are cheap guys who offer a substantial upside and enable you to explore top-heavy builds.
Orlando Arcia ($2600 DK, $2400 FD)
Arcia bats in the wraparound nine-hole often, which could be useful if he can make his way on base to be driven in by the top of the order. In his last ten games, Arcia has seen the ball well with a 7:6 K/BB ratio. In that span, he has also collected five hits with three runs and an RBI. It won’t take much to gain value from this play, and hopefully, the big bats and safe arms pull out plenty of points.
Austin Hedges ($3600 DK, $3000 FD)
Punting catcher today? Not a bad call at all. There is not a safe option on the board and might as well go diving. Hedges is getting full-time opportunities with Mejia on the IL. He is playing in Coors Field and, as mentioned previously, against Senzatela, who struggles against right-handed bats. DraftKings lineups are the play here, otherwise, walk away for FanDuel builds.
Also Consider: Leody Tavares, Victor Robles