Tuesday’s ten-game slate has no shortage of putaway arms or out of the park bats. With such a diverse abundance of talent at a range of pricing, it will be tricky to build the perfect lineup.
This is Plan of Attack. We’re here to provide advice and recommendations to help you build successful daily fantasy lineups. We’ll be loosely guided by the tenants of our DFS Manifesto – namely a single lineup build designed to improve your enjoyment of the game while giving you a chance to beat the rake.
Don’t be surprised if the column evolves. This is a living creature, and it’s sure to adapt in Darwinian fashion. If there are features you especially like or believe need tweaking to be actionable, please reach out to us. Since this is written early in the day, certain important details will be left for you to find on your own. In particular, weather, lineups, and umpires are all things you should verify within three hours of contest-lock.
For clarity, when I reference “value,” I’m referring to projected points divided by cost.
1. The RotoFanatical Challenge
We are hosting a daily 20-entry, $3 contest on DraftKings. It’s an excellent low-cost testing ground against fellow RotoFanatic fans. A level playing field is always nice. Today’s 11-game slate begins at 6:10 pm ET. Reserve your spot for the contest.
2. Weather and Park Factors
Rain could play a significant role in the NYY@ATL outcome for today’s events. There is a 19% chance of precipitation, and the game time is set for 7:00 pm. The rest of the slate doesn’t look to be influenced by the weather. As always, monitor this closer to lock time.
The Park Factor highlight for today is on Guaranteed Rate Field. They have been on fire, putting up all kinds of crooked numbers on the scoreboard. Today they are going to big the big sticks into the hitter-friendly home confines. The team has been compiled of right-handed hitters mainly. Take a look at the RotoFanatic Park Factors based on batted ball events from 2017-2019, and you can see why. The park favors RHH to the power alleys in LF and LCF. Make notes of this and keep an eye out for more crooked numbers this evening.
Check out our park factors HERE.
3. Building Block Bats
Jose Abreu ($5000 DK, $4000 FD)
Eloy Jimenez ($4900 DK, $3400 FD)
Luis Robert ($4500 DK, $3300 FD)
Yes, stack the Chicago White Sox for a big point total today. The club has put up 55 runs over their last eight games played and trotting around the basepaths via the longball. The team is fresh off a day off and back home in Guaranteed Rate Field. In the Park Factors section, we learned that RHH to the power alleys. The targets are Abreu, Jimenez, and Robert. Plug them all into your lineup as they face southpaw Steven Brault. Brault has been used in tandem with an opener and is not allowed to throw more than five innings. The Pirates bullpen has an 11.2% K-BB%, and if they can’t keep the Sox off the bases, it’ll be more crooked numbers.
Also consider: Nelson Cruz, Manny Machado, Trent Grisham
Gregory Polanco ($3400 DK, $2900 FD)
Take Polanco’s season stats, crumble them up, and throw them away. He started the season very poorly at the plate, and it has dragged down his numbers. In the last three games, Polanco has come alive with five hits and back to back home run outings. Polanco has a ton of swing and miss in his game, but he also has loads of pop in that bat. Take a glance at his Statcast slider, 98th percentile in exit velocity, and 95th percentile in hard hit% is terrific to see. Remember, Guaranteed Rate is a very hitter-friendly ballpark.
Wil Myers ($3400 DK, $3000 FD)
While everyone out there is enamored with the newly crowned SLAM Diego Padres, they are rostering Tatis Jr, Machado & Hosmer at a very high rate. The man left out of the equation is Wil Myers, who has been impressive through 27 games this season. In that timeframe, he has seven home runs, 18 RBI and 15 runs. Production coming out his ears, and yet his salary continues to plateau. Oh, look, another slider full of red in all the right places. I like Myers today for a home run or two off of Marco Gonzales.
Also consider: Todd Frazier, Steven Piscotty
Gerrit Cole (DK $10600, FD $11000)
Gerrit Cole draws a great matchup in the Atlanta Braves, who are still without superstars Ronald Acuna Jr and Ozzie Albies. While the Braves still have some solid hitters, they are a much less efficient team without them. Cole has been his usual self, putting up double-digit strikeouts in two of his last three starts and walking very few batters. He has a 2.75 ERA with 0.89 WHIP and 44 strikeouts through his 36 innings pitched. He is continually one of the higher-priced starting pitchers for a reason; he is incredibly safe and puts up big point totals.
Shane Bieber (DK $10800, FD $12000)
Bieber is putting up a spectacular campaign in 2020. He has mowed down any lineup put in front of him and has six straight quality starts. A look at his statcast slider below tells the tale of Bieber. He is in the 98th percentile for K% and Whiff%, which is the main driver for suppressing his ERA. As you notice, he does not have lights out fastball that allows him to get hit hard. Bieber faces the Twins earlier in the year, and how did he fair? Eight innings pitched with three hits and 13 strikeouts on his way to victory. He is matchup proof and needs to be put in the safe category.
Also Consider: Luis Castillo
German Marquez (DK $8000, FD $8700)
German Marquez? Outside of Coors Field? YES PLEASE! There is a few matchups that I circle and play when they become available. German Marquez is one of the most underrated pitchers in the MLB, mainly due to the fact he pitches in Coors. To add icing on the cake, the Arizona Diamondbacks have been a cesspool(@mattwi77iams) for the year. When facing right-hand pitching, Arizona has 73 wRC+, .281 wOBA, and .291 OBP over the last seven games. They will continue to struggle today against Marquez.
Also Consider: Spencer Turnbull, Chris Paddack
Connectors are cheap guys who offer a tangible upside and enable you to explore top-heavy builds. FanDuel offers an embarrassing quantity of these players (their pricing model is drunk) so I’ll focus on DraftKings first and foremost.
Dylan Carlson ($2700 DK, $2300 FD)
Finally, Dylan Carlson has arrived. The switch-hitting outfield prospect for the Cardinals is on a two-game hitting streak and put his first home run into the bleachers on Sunday. He has been striking out more than you would like to see, but he is a younger player with tremendous upside potential. Carlson gets the tasty matchup against Matt Harvey, who has lost his way to becoming the superstar many thought he would be. It could be a big day for Carlson.
Also Consider: Isaac Paredes, Victor Caratini, Joey Bart